基于应计收益、经营性现金流量对未来收益的预测

本文选取了2006—2009年我国A股制造业中的1301家企业为研究样本，以历史会计盈余及各组成部分为研究的出发点，分别建立各单变量模型和多变量模型对企业未来收益的预测进行检验。研究结果发现，历史盈余对未来收益的预测效果最好，其次是经营性现金流量对未来收益的预测，应计收益对企业未来收益的预测能力最弱，且会计盈余划分越细，预测效果越佳。     

AN ALTERNATIVE PERSPECTIVE ON SOUTH AFRICA'S PUBLIC DEBT, 1962‐1994

The history of public debt reflects the cumulative effect of fiscal decisions and real outcomes in the economy. In the South African case the published record on public debt distorts the historical perspective on the associated fiscal decisions. This paper shows the impact of adjusting the South African public debt on an accrual basis to take account of two major obligations assumed in the first half of the 1990s, namely actuarial pension fund deficits and government debt of the apartheid homelands. The adjusted series is less volatile and rose less steeply between 1989 and 1996 than the official, cash‐based debt series. Failing to account for the evolution of these obligations exaggerates the impression of weak fiscal discipline in the early 1990s and exemplary fiscal prudence in preceding decades.     

管理层变更与盈余管理——基于我国上市公司的实证研究

盈余管理是造成会计质量低下的主要原因之一，我国上市公司管理层变更与盈余管理存在着密切的关系。本文通过实证方法，采用线下利润占总利润的比重作为衡量盈余管理的指标对我国上市公司管理层的变更和非营业活动进行的盈余管理进行研究，并利用应计利润模型（Jones模型和修正的Jones模型）对发生管理层变更的公司进行盈余管理的检验。     

浅析我国政府会计核算基础改革

长期以来,我国政府会计一直以收付实现制为会计核算基础.近年来随着经济环境发生了巨大变化,政府的经济活动也日趋多样化和复杂化,收付实现制核算模式弊端逐渐显现,有待改进和完善.本文分析了我国政府会计核算基础的现状及存在的主要问题,借鉴其他国家会计核算基础的改革模式和经验.探索了适合我国实际的政府会计改革之路.     

MIND YOUR ACCRUALS: PERCEIVED USEFULNESS OF FINANCIAL INFORMATION IN THE AUSTRALIAN PUBLIC SECTOR UNDER DIFFERENT ACCOUNTING SYSTEMS

This study examines the usefulness of three accounting systems (cash, Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) accrual, and Government Finance Statistics (GFS) accrual) for public sector decision‐making. From a survey of internal users, external users, and preparers in Australia, we find that GAAP accrual information is perceived to be relatively more useful and understandable than the other two systems for most decisions examined. The relatively higher ratings for GAAP accrual information differ from earlier studies and may reflect an experience or familiarity effect whereby perceptions of usefulness are enhanced because respondents have become more used to the system. This effect might also explain the lower ratings for GFS accrual.     

THE DIVERSITY OF ACCRUAL POLICIES IN LOCAL GOVERNMENT FINANCIAL REPORTING: AN EXAMINATION OF INFRASTRUCTURE,ART AND HERITAGE ASSETS IN GERMANY,ITALY AND THE UK

This paper examines the norms and practices for infrastructure, art and heritage assets in six cities, across three European countries, to determine how the national norms of accrual accounting compared with each other, and with IPSAS, and how the practices in each city compared with the norms. We identify significant diversity between actual practices and the norms imposed by national policy‐makers or set by IPSAS. Given that a longstanding concern of the literature has been on whether these kinds of assets should be included in governmental balance sheets and operating statements at all, it is striking how often the question was settled in practice by excluding art and heritage assets, even when this meant non‐compliance with national norms. In our three countries, it is clear that comparability of the financial statements between countries was not a concern of policy‐makers, and comparability between cities within each country not a concern of preparers.     

审计师规模与审计质量——基于可操控应计利润市场定价的实证考察

本文采用我国证券市场2001～2005年的数据，从可操控应计利润市场定价的角度，实证分析了审计师规模与审计质量的关系，研究发现：我国规模较大的“九大”审计师未能提供比非“九大”质量更高的审计服务。认为要提高我国审计市场的审计质量，除采取措施扩大审计师规模外，还须加强法制建设。     

浅析预算会计制度改革

随着改革开放的深入和经济形势的不断发展,我国现行预算会计制度也暴露出不少缺陷,会计工作者理应与时俱进,改革预算会计制度,促进我国会计体制的完善。本文着力于研究我国预算会计的不足之处以及国际上政府会计改革的趋势及原因,提出了改进我国预算会计制度的建议并建立中国政府会计核算制度的设想。     

政府会计改革与发展

分析了我国政府会计存在的问题,借鉴了国际政府会计的改革与实践,结合我国建设社会主义公共财政的实际情况,提出了未来我国政府会计改革的措施.